We are very proud of how we did in our “Pick em” challenge we NAILED the race for Governor within .3%
We went 7 for 8 on the winners picking Anderson to beat Chaney which obviously never happened
Listed are our predictions followed by actual outcome. We did purty good I would say.
ROM PREDICTION:
Governor
Haley Barbour: 58.4%
John Arthur Eaves Jr: 41.6%
Actual:
Haley Barbour: 58.06%
John Arthur Eaves Jr: 41.9%
ROM CALL: CORRECT!!! WE NAILED THE GOVERNORS RACE
Missed it by just under 0.3%
Lt. Governor
Phil Bryant: 56.1%
Jamie Franks: 43.9%
Actual:
Phil Bryant: 58.7%
Jamie Franks: 41.3%
ROM Call: Correct!
Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 2.6%
Secretary of State
Delbert Hosemann: 55.9%
Rob Smith: 44.1%
Actual:
Delbert Hosemann: 58.6
Rob Smith: 41.4
ROM Call: Correct!
Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 2.7%
Attorney General
Jim Hood: 55.3%
Al Hopkins: 44.7%
Actual:
Jim Hood: 59.6%
Al Hopkins: 40.4%
ROM Call: Correct!
Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 4.3%
State Treasurer
Tate Reeves: 60.1%
Shawn O’Hara: 39.9%
Actual:
Tate Reeves: 60.7%
Shawn O’Hara: 39.3
ROM Call: Correct!
Percentage: NAILED THIS ONE TOO Missed on the tight side by 0.6%
State Auditor:
Stacey Pickering: 51.8%
Mike Sumrall: 48.2%
Actual:
Stacey Pickering: 55.2%
Mike Sumrall: 44.8%
ROM Call: Correct!
Percentage: Misssed on the tight side by 3.4%
Insurance Commissioner:
Gary Anderson: 51.0%
Mike Chaney: 49.0%
Actual:
Mike Chaney: 56.8%
Gary Anderson: 43.2%
ROM CALL: Incorrect…
Percentage: Underestimated Mike Chaney by 7.8%
Commissioner of Agriculture:
Lester Spell: 40.4%
Rickey Cole: 39.5%
Les Riley: 20.1%
Actual:
Lester Spell: 50.8%
Rickey Cole: 42.1%
Les Riley: 7.04%
ROM CALL: Correct
Percentage: Quite a bit off, I overestimated the beef plant effect on Spell and though it would push a larger chunk of his votes to Riley I underestimated Spell by 10.4%, was a lot closer on Cole who I only missed by 2.6%
ROM Goes 7 for 8 on 2007 Statewide Races with ON RECORD picks, our margins were closer to correct than any other on-record picks that we can find on the net. We had an average margin of Error on ALL PICKS of 4.08% OVERALL
As the years go on here at ROM we will continue this little exercise and keep a running tally
As it stands ROM’s pick em 2007 average is 88% correct on winners/losers with a 4.08% overall margin of error on the spread.
Not too shabby if we do say so ourself as we did pick 2 races dead on missing the exact percentage by less than 1%
How did ya’ll do?
-ROM
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