Archive for the ‘Candidate Research’ category

Phony “Log Cabin Republican” Endorsement letter floating around in Mississippi

July 27, 2011

***UPDATE*** This letter is absolutely fake

This was just emailed in and it looks bogus.  I doubt the Log Cabin Republicans are getting involved in the Mississippi Republican Primaries. Smells like someone is up to some dirty tricks.  The letter is not mentioned on their website: LOG CABIN REPUBLICANS

And the signature and the name of the executive director do not match.

We don’t appreciate this kind of dirty, nasty, underhanded politics so we are here to call this out, that’s why blogging can be a force for good.  If this letter is in fact fake and if anyone else received this please let us know.

-ROM

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Senator Doug Davis Primary Spot

July 12, 2011

Good spot up for Senator Doug Davis who drew a primary challenge on August 2nd.  We like Doug and think this ad will help him secure re-election in his DeSoto County based seat.

-ROM

Lynn Fitch for Treasurer campaign on the air with GREAT ads

July 12, 2011

With 2 really high quality ads. Produced by: Dresner Wickers Associates

“JT”

ROM Overall Grade: A+

“On Day One”

ROM Overall Grade: B

We really like these ads, certainly stronger in the production department than Lucien Smith.  “JT” is the strongest of the 2 ads by far with extra points for creativity and we like the gag about not using a high priced media consultant when they are using one of the highest priced firms in the business, although i would say they got their moneys worth here, the ads are sharp, crisp, well written, lighted and executed.

With the exception of Max Phillips’ spots these would be the biggest surprise hits so far in the 2011 races.

Interested to see what Lee Yancey comes up with, right now Lynn is certainly leading in the air war if she can afford to keep them on the air.

-ROM

Max Phillips (R) vs. Cindy Hyde-Smith (D) for Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner

July 11, 2011

**Update 7/28** Max Phillips was endorsed by the Clarion Ledger: READ HERE

The Neshoba County fair coverage seemed to be uneventful with all candidates staying civil AP COVERAGE HERE

Alan Lange the very accurate and respected handicapper at YallPolitics picked Max Phillips to win in a close race with Cindy Hyde-Smith running second READ HERE

Cindy Hyde-Smith was endorsed by outgoing Ag Commissioner Lester Spell

There are 2 active campaigns, Max Phillips and Cindy Hyde-Smith who look ready to duke it out for the Republican nod on August 2nd.

The amount of emails and traffic from our original post on this race received leads us to believe that there is a lot more interest in this race than most political insiders might think.

A breakdown of where the race stands right now:

Campaign finance numbers have pulled close to equal with Max Phillips continuing to hold a slight edge.

After exhaustive conversations with everyone who would speak to us off the record about the race (GOP county officers, local officials, Tea Party reps, Republican hacks and a couple lobbyists) our notes revealed common themes and phrases, the most common of those are as follows:

Cindy Hyde-Smith: is actually somewhat despised by the grass-roots because they resent the fact that she changed parties only to run for this office, she is essentially a Democrat in a Republican primary, but was an early Jackson Lobbyist favorite who was fading fast until she infused her campaign with $40,000 personal contribution and pulled in some money from Labor Unions. Hyde-Smith seems to have the support of Democrats, Lobbyists and Labor Unions but we don’t see any Republican groups supporting her right now and have a hard time imagining any Conservative backing someone who was in the same party as Barack Obama only 6 months ago, has only been in elected office as a Democrat and voted for the beef plant.

Although Hyde-Smith did get a nice article from Sid Salter comparing her to Geraldine Ferraro here

***Updated*** Cindy Hyde-Smith released her ad today 7/15/11

not too shabby really, for a normal Commissioner of Ag candidate it’s par for the course, it does some tricks to hide the fact that Cindy was not born on a farm, says “born in a Christian household” and that her daughter will be “a 5th generation farmer” and she calls herself a Republican which is a recent development but we digress.

***Updated Again*** After further review we feel that Cindy Hyde-Smith should be chastised for this screen shot, it it blatantly misleading, her father was a truck driver and not a farmer, this is trying to be too cute and this screen shot is a lie, decide for yourself:

The above statement is false and misleading

ROM Overall Grade D- for attempting to mislead voters into thinking she is a farmer.

****ANOTHER UPDATE****

This video was emailed to us from a well known Mississippi politico apparently someone is not too happy about Cindy Hyde-Smith and her resume inflation, so much so that they made a little video about it.

Max Phillips: Grassroots favorite and Tea-Party backed candidate who’s campaign stumbled and failed to gain momentum out of the gate has apparently righted the ship has put some money in the bank and has been quickly gaining establishment backing and winning back early Hyde-Smith backers.

And in the biggest news out of this race in cycles Max Phillips has just released his first campaign advertisement. (you heard it right folks a real TV ad in an Ag Commissioners race)  We did not expect to see anything substantial out of either campaign until the last week or so.

It can be viewed here:

The ad is surprising if not shocking in how good it is for Ag commissioner candidate, it’s very funny, has great visuals, real talking points and even has a subtle highlight of the difference between the candidates (Cindy Hyde-Smith does not seem like the type to get her boots dirty).  It looks to be as well produced as anything around the state right now.

If Max Phillips can raise enough money to keep this on the air he may be able to win this without a runoff.  If nothing else this is going to force Cindy’s hand.  We will see what she can come back with. (*update* we have seen and it is posted above… Yawn)

ROM Overall Grade: A+

This race should be an easy one to call although it’s far from over, electing a Democrat who is funded by labor union money in Republican primary to this office would truly be an embarrassment to Conservatives across the state.  ROM pulls the trigger in it’s first race of the year and officially endorses Max Phillips for Commissioner of Agriculture and Commerce in the August 2nd Republican Primary.

-ROM

***Updated*** Dr. Dannie Reed is still around, we had not seen a sign or an ad or a piece of mail or a strong fundraising report so we mistakenly assumed that he was not pursuing the race with real vigor he dropped by and added a comment so we felt obliged to include it in the post out of equal time/fairness or whatever.

From Rep Dannie Reed: “That (sic) is Dr. Dannie Reed, Doctorate of Agriculture Real Experience (sic) , servicing and developing farmers and Ag. as a County Agent. Elected Twice as a Republican, never lost, unoposed (sic) second race. But worked every day and not a lobbyist . The people will see who is the best,”

Lucien Smith releases his first ad of the Treasurers race

July 7, 2011

Lucien Smith who has out=raised his 2 opponents Lynn Fitch and Lee Yancey for the office of State Treasurer has earned the luxury of being on TV first.  (Lynn, Lee and Lucien what are the odds really?)

His ad can be seen here:

Initial thoughts: While the script is well written and says the right things (except for starting with Haley, I think that takes away a chance to introduce the candidate immediately), but the production value is mid-range at best, the audio is good but the visuals leave something to be desired, the scenes look to be poorly lighted and we are not a big fan of the graphics.

Strong effort, and good message but a bit of a fumble on the execution by whatever media team put this together.

ROM: Overall Grade C+ (B+ for Message and C- for production)

Please note we may be a little hard here on Lucien but we expect a lot.

-ROM

Who’s more of an embarrassment to the MS GOP, Ricky Dombrowski or Howie Morgan?

July 1, 2011

We almost did not post this but just because Ricky Dombrowski and Howie Morgan tried to screw with this blog we won’t cut them any slack so here goes.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

What a total embarrassment to have these two clowns running for statewide office on the GOP ticket, Ricky Dombrowski, quite possibly the biggest clown ever to seek statewide office in Mississippi this century and his campaign manager Howie Morgan, the serial resume-inflating “political consultant” who is in trouble for selling endorsements is now in trouble for a DUI in which he threatened the job of a police officer with a bogus claim that he works for Governor Haley Barbour

From Oxfordcrimereport.com:

On February 3, 2011, Captain Libby Lytle was waiting on a driver to pick up a vehicle involved in a no driver’s license citation on the southbound side of Highway 6, parked on the Whirlpool side. While waiting, idly, she testified to seeing a black Mercedes traveling westbound well below the minimum 35 mile per hour speed limit, and thought it was driver looking for the person needing a ride.

Lytle said she knew something else was going on when the Mercedes came to a stop on the shoulder to the ramp exiting to Coliseum Drive, and a man later determined to be Harold Morgan, got out of the vehicle and began walking.

Lytle radioed for back-up to check out the suspect while she waited for a driver to arrive for the no license citation. Once she arrived on scene with Morgan she found a belligerent suspect who threatened to have her job because he worked for the governor. Research has revealed Morgan is currently the director of a Republic Political Action Committee for the election of Sam Smith in the 55th district of the Mississippi House of Representatives in Vicksburg.

Lytle testified that Morgan said he was not the driver of the vehicle, but then later said the transmission was out. DUI officer David Sabin arrived on scene, and continued questioning Morgan.

“It was obvious from the moment we met he was intoxicated,” Sabin said.

On the video played from Sabin’s dashboard camera showed Sabin giving a disheveled and unsteady Morgan a chance to admit he was in fact driving the Mercedes.

“How did you know the transmission if you weren’t driving?,” Sabin is heard asking on the video. “Unless your car has wings you drove it there.”

Morgan refused his opportunity to blow into the breathalyzer, and was arrested for DUI refusal, expired registration, and driving while license suspended based on a previous DUI conviction.

The judge found Morgan guilty of DUI and expired registration, but threw out the DWLS charge because the previous DUI charge is under appeal. Morgan paid twice the $1,086 fine to keep his license valid until the appeal is heard.

Will Ricky keep Howie on the payroll?  Should we even care? the jury is still out.

-ROM

Bad Tate, Bad, Bad Tate

June 25, 2011

This new ad from Billy Hewes has us totally entertained, I am not sure if you can even call it a negative ad when there is a chihuahua in it.  Anyway the production value looks really good and the message,  although Tate Reeves probably does not like it will probably be somewhat effective.

Regardless of our feelings about this race we love ads and we REALLY LOVE attack ads.

Positive ads are so boring most of the time.

Political silly season just started.

Overall ROM Ad Grade: B+