Archive for the ‘John Arthur Eaves’ category

ROM nails the statewide races with 4% Margin of Error

November 7, 2007

We are very proud of how we did in our “Pick em” challenge we NAILED the race for Governor within .3%

We went 7 for 8 on the winners picking Anderson to beat Chaney which obviously never happened

Listed are our predictions followed by actual outcome.  We did purty good I would say.

ROM PREDICTION:

Governor

Haley Barbour: 58.4%

John Arthur Eaves Jr: 41.6%

Actual:

Haley Barbour: 58.06%

John Arthur Eaves Jr: 41.9%

ROM CALL: CORRECT!!! WE NAILED THE GOVERNORS RACE

Missed it by just under 0.3%

 

Lt. Governor

Phil Bryant: 56.1%

Jamie Franks: 43.9%

Actual:

Phil Bryant: 58.7%

Jamie Franks: 41.3%

ROM Call: Correct!

Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 2.6%

Secretary of State

Delbert Hosemann: 55.9%

Rob Smith: 44.1%

Actual:

Delbert Hosemann: 58.6

Rob Smith: 41.4

ROM Call: Correct!

Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 2.7%

Attorney General

Jim Hood: 55.3%

Al Hopkins: 44.7%

Actual:

Jim Hood: 59.6%

Al Hopkins: 40.4%

ROM Call: Correct!

Percentage: Missed on the tight side by 4.3%

State Treasurer

Tate Reeves: 60.1%

Shawn O’Hara: 39.9%

Actual:

Tate Reeves: 60.7%

Shawn O’Hara: 39.3

ROM Call: Correct!

Percentage: NAILED THIS ONE TOO Missed on the tight side by 0.6%

State Auditor:

Stacey Pickering: 51.8%

Mike Sumrall: 48.2%

Actual:

Stacey Pickering: 55.2%

Mike Sumrall: 44.8%

ROM Call: Correct!

Percentage: Misssed on the tight side by 3.4%

Insurance Commissioner:

Gary Anderson: 51.0%

Mike Chaney: 49.0%

Actual:

Mike Chaney: 56.8%

Gary Anderson: 43.2%

ROM CALL: Incorrect…

Percentage: Underestimated Mike Chaney by 7.8%

Commissioner of Agriculture:

Lester Spell: 40.4%

Rickey Cole: 39.5%

Les Riley: 20.1%

Actual:

Lester Spell: 50.8%

Rickey Cole: 42.1%

Les Riley: 7.04%

ROM CALL: Correct

Percentage: Quite a bit off, I overestimated the beef plant effect on Spell and though it would push a larger chunk of his votes to Riley I underestimated Spell by 10.4%, was a lot closer on Cole who I only missed by 2.6%

ROM Goes 7 for 8 on 2007 Statewide Races with ON RECORD picks, our margins were closer to correct than any other on-record picks that we can find on the net. We had an average margin of Error on ALL PICKS of 4.08% OVERALL

As the years go on here at ROM we will continue this little exercise and keep a running tally

As it stands ROM’s pick em 2007 average is 88% correct on winners/losers with a 4.08% overall margin of error on the spread.

Not too shabby if we do say so ourself as we did pick 2 races dead on missing the exact percentage by less than 1%

How did ya’ll do?

-ROM 

CottonMouth makes some 2007 predictions (sort of)

November 6, 2007

*UPDATED*

LG – Bryant (After Franks has been buried by a pile of money)
SOS – Hosemann (More likable and far better run campaign)
Auditor – Pickering (Sadly. The name will beat the actual auditor)From our good friends at:

CottonMouth

STATEWIDE
You should watch the races for Governor, Attorney General, and Treasurer for big spreads.

Haley Barbour (R), Jim Hood (D) and Tate Reeves (R) will all win big.

The two races that will be nail bitingly close are the races for Agricultural Commissioner and Insurance Commissioner.

The race for Agricultural Commissioner features scandal-tainted party-switcher Lester Spell (R) and farmer and Democratic activist Rickey Cole (D).

The race for Insurance Commissioner features State Senator Mike Chaney (R) who has taken tens of thousands from insurance interests and former Mississippi Chief Financial Officer Gary Anderson (D). Anderson would be the first statewide African-American elected official.

I’ll add the state House and Senate races a little later.

Columbus Dispatch Releases Statewide Endorsements

November 5, 2007

Columbus Commercial Dispatch Releases Statewide Endorsements 

Our choices (11/5)

Endorsements

Governor: Haley Barbour, Republican

Lt. Governor: Jamie Franks, Democrat

Sec. of State: Delbert Hosemann, Republican

Atty. Gen.: Jim Hood, Democrat

State auditor: Mike Sumrall, Democrat

State treasurer: Tate Reeves, Republican

Ag Comm.: Rickey Cole, Democrat

Ins. Comm.: Mike Chaney, Republican

With the statewide elections only a day away, it’s going to be up to the voters to sift through the candidates’ pitches and make their decisions, hopefully based on informed opinions.

The Commercial Dispatch has presented our readers with detailed information about the candidates for local, district and state offices. We done profiles on each local and area race and produced a voters’ guide on the local candidates before the first primary election.

We’ve had editorial board meetings with most of the state candidates and presented reports on those meetings for our readers. And we’ve seen them in public appearances.

Now, as yet another service to our readers, we’d like to present a slate of who we think are the best candidates for the top statewide offices:

Governor: Incumbent Republican Haley Barbour is the best choice, as we stated in an editorial in Sunday’s Dispatch. Barbour has proven his leadership and deserves another four years at the helm of our state.

Lieutenant governor: Democrat Jamie Franks is our choice for the state’s second highest elected office, for reasons we outlined in our Sunday editorial. We like Franks for his independent streak and bipartisan outlook. He will provide a check and balance for Barbour, who is the most powerful governor we can remember in Mississippi.

Secretary of state: Republican Delbert Hosemann deserves to be Mississippi’s next secretary of state. Hosemann, who undoubtedly has the best campaign ads this season, is not a career politician. He simply wants to serve Mississippians and clean up our elections.

Attorney general: Incumbent Democrat Jim Hood has done a good job and should have a second term in office.

State auditor: Although both candidates seem well qualified, Democrat Mike Sumrall, who has served 24 years in the state auditor’s office, is the better pick, based on his experience, in this closely fought race.

State treasurer: Republican Tate Reeves has been a good state treasurer and has only token competition from perennial candidate Shawn O’Hara. Reeves should be elected to a second term.

Commissioner of Agriculture and Commerce: We’d like to see Democrat Rickey Cole have a chance at this job. The nefarious beef plant has left a bad taste in Mississippian’s mouths when it come to the incumbent in the position and it’s time for a change in this office.

Commissioner of insurance: In the wake of the insurance mess created by Hurricane Katrina, Mississippi’s longest serving state office holder, George Dale was ousted from this office by Gary Anderson in the primary. We like both candidates in this race, but we think Republican Mike Chaney is the better choice for the prudent approach he promises to take in restabilizing the insurance industry in the state.

These are our picks for the top eight statewide offices. It’s a bi-partisan ticket, with four Democrats and four Republicans. We aren’t interested in supporting any particular party; we’re just looking for the best candidates to serve Mississippians for the next four years.

These are our suggestions, and now it’s up to you, the voters, to go to the polls and vote your convictions. The polls will be open Tuesday from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Vote responsibly.

More PROOF of Voter Fraud in Coahoma County Mississippi

November 5, 2007

 Clarksdale Press Register

Circuit Judge Frank Vollor of Vicksburg has thrown out Coahoma County Sheriff Andrew Thompson Jr.’s victory in the Aug. 7th Democratic Primary and called for for the governor to order a runoff between Thompson and Friars Point Police Chief Charles Jones.

Vollor, who presided over a hearing Oct. 26 in Coahoma County Circuit Court, ruled Friday that “all of the absentee ballots (from the Aug. 7 primary) should be disqualified” because of the illegal ballots included in the absentee vote.”
“It is impossible to segregate the illegal votes from the legal votes,” Vollor said, referring to Harpole v. Kemper County Democratic Executive Committee, Mississippi 2005.

Jones filed a complaint with the office of Coahoma County Circuit Court following the Aug. 7 election in which Thompson received 50.16 votes to Jones’ 32.08 percent of the votes.

Jones contended that more than 100 absentee ballots had not been properly witnessed and signed.

During the Oct. 26 hearing, Vollor called for the ballots. Once Vollor looked at each ballot individually he declared 124 ballots had not been signed to validate the votes.

Vollor studied the matter at length during the past week. His other option, a much simpler decision, would have been to affirm the election results.

Thompson and his attorney, Ellis Pittman, argued that since fraud had not been alleged or proven, the number of illegal votes counted although more than the 11-vote margin by which Thompson was declared the winner in August.

Thompson argued that the illegal votes should “approach a percentage of the total vote in the proximity of 30 percent.”
Vollor did not buy the contention from Thompson and Pittman.

Vollor said since nearly one-fourth of the absentee ballots were illegal, “this is a total departure from the fundamental provisions of the election code and there is no way to determine for whom these illegal votes were cast.”

The Coahoma County Democratic Executive Committee had certified the results from August as being proper, declaring Thompson the winner by a scant 11 votes (50.16 percent). There were five candidate opposing Thompson’s re-election to a sixth four-year term.

Vollor said Thompson’s argument would have had merit if he had also won a majority at the polls.

The question then would have been whether the percentage of the absentee votes disqualified to the total vote cast still required a special question.

Richard “Flip” Phillips, the main attorney representing Jones, said after Vollor’s ruling:
“I am convinced Charles Jones represents the future of the Mississippi Delta,” Phillips said. “He is an honest, hard-working young man who believes a better way of life is ahead for Coahoma County residents.

“He wants to aggressively address the gang and crime problems that stand in the way of that better life,” Phillips said. “A growing majority of Coahoma County citizens are sharing his view.”

Assisting Phillips during the protracted legal work getting the case to fruition was Parker Still.

Both are members of a Batesville law firm.

Parker is the city attorney for Batesville.

Phillips said working the case brought inspiration to Parker and him as they look to the vision of change in Northwest Mississippi.

“This is the new face of the Mississippi Delta,” he said.
©Clarksdale Press Register 2007

I am just going to keep posting this stuff as long as the Democrats continue to try and tell me that there is no voter fraud in Mississippi.

Once again and this is VERY SIMPLE:

Barbour, Bryant, & Hosemann will fight voter fraud

Eaves, Franks & Smith refuse to acknowledge the problem and will do nothing to protect your vote. 

-ROM 

Eaves closer “Good Husband”

November 3, 2007

Looks like the Eaves camp brought Angel and the boys back for the closer ad.

No Rating, why bother.  Glad to see a normal looking ad out of that campaign again.

Hattip: Cottonmouth 

Mississippi Students give us the best poll of Mississippi 2007 thus far

November 1, 2007

Mississippi Secretary of State’s “Promote the Vote” Program mock election results are in, visit the SOS website to see a list of participating schools, it is quite extensive and diverse.  Results of the statewide Mock Election for the top 4 statewide spots are as follows:

 

All Participating Schools

Governor Votes Pct
Haley Barbour (Republican) 17,457 63
John Arthur Eaves, Jr. (Democratic) 10,110 37
Total Votes Cast 27,567 100
Lieutenant Governor Votes Pct
Phil Bryant (Republican) 16,953 62
Jamie Franks (Democratic) 10,236 38
Total Votes Cast 27,189 100
Secretary of State Votes Pct
Delbert Hosemann (Republican) 15,677 59
Rob Smith (Democratic) 11,121 41
Total Votes Cast 26,798 100
Attorney General Votes Pct
Jim Hood (Democratic ) 14,204 53
Al Hopkins (Republican ) 12,782 47
Total Votes Cast 26,986 100

I am amazed I would say the percentages may be a touch closer but I am certain that they nailed the actual outcome 4 for 4.

-ROM 

The GOP’s “Liberal Team Bus” Mailer

October 31, 2007

liberalteambus.jpg

liberalbusback.jpg

GOP LIBERAL TEAM BUS MAILER 2007 (.PDF)

Click on the file above for the .PDF of the liberal team bus (driven by Hillary herself) featuring John Arthur Eaves, Jamie Franks, Rickey Cole, Mike Sumrall, Jim Hood, Gary Anderson and Rob Smith bringing up the rear.This thing is hilarious and I imagine would be fairly effective after Hillary’s comments last week.

The Reverse side has 7 Reasons why they should be stopped.

Hilarious!

-ROM